EUROMEDICA  Hanover 23-24  Mai 2011	Advanced methods of diagnosis, treatment and prophylactics
	European Academy of Natural Sciences, Hanover European Scientific Society, Hanover

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It is known that there may be summation of the effects of many toxins that determines the nature of their complex adverse effects. In circumstances where there is a long-term effect on the body of heavy metals, man-made radionuclides may develop nonspecific effects of intoxication, immunosuppressive status and background of the activation of different pathogens in the human body.

To study the influence of some anthropogenic factors on the incidence of population in the regions adjacent to the test missile nuclear test sites in Western Kazakhstan, as a unit of the mathematical model has been used multiple correlation and regression analysis between the incidence of the population these regions (modeled feature Y) and actual chemical load (RHN), heavy metals and radionuclides (factor signs - X1, X2, X3, etc.), namely: Zn, Pb, Cd, Co, Ni, Cu, Mn, Fe and 137Cs with food as a vegetable, so and animal origin. After stepping through the definition of valid variables and insignificant exceptions, a number of predictive mathematical models.

The relationship between the real load of heavy metals in plant and animal foods and the level of morbidity of population in the region of western Kazakhstan test sites for the classes “Infectious and Parasitic Diseases” (Co, Zn), «Neoplasms» (Fe, Ni), «Diseases of the circulatory system” (Co), “Diseases of the digestive system» (Fe, Cd).

At the same time, the regression equation revealed that the morbidity of the population of the region, by class of “Diseases of blood and blood-forming organs”, “Endocrine disorders, nutrition and metabolism”, “Congenital malformations, deformations and chromosomal abnormalities” had a direct correlation with real nutritional stress not only by heavy metals (Co, Pb, Cu, Zn, Cd), but also technogenic 137Cs.

This situation indicates the presence of the combined effects of hazards caused by missile and nuclear tests, on public health. That is, high levels of the incidence of population of the region, on the above classes of diseases are associated with the influence of complex chemical and physical factors. In this case, radiation (physical) factor from our data is caused by internal irradiation of 137Cs in the body through the consumption of a population of animal food products produced locally.

Thus, the results obtained in the course of multiple correlation and regression analysis between the incidence of the population in the region of western Kazakhstan test sites and the actual nutritional chemical load, allow for the hygienic prediction required for the organizational and preventive measures aimed at reducing the health risks of harmful anthropogenic factors.